causation

Gelman on Meehl

Published by on March 23, 2015

Today, Andrew Gelman posted about a paper written over thirty years ago by Paul Meehl. Even though I believe actuaries are less exposed than social science statisticians to some of the pitfalls of what Gelman calls the “garden of forking paths,” we are still exposed, and I’d recommend reading Gelman’s posts on the issue. I Read the full article…

Big Data, Correlations, and the Hales-Jewett Theorem

Published by on May 21, 2014 | 3 Responses

“Big Data” has become one of the most heralded tools, or at least buzzwords, of this decade. The use of “big data” is trumpeted by many studies in almost all disciplines, and, too an extent, understandably so. Hand-in-hand with the geometric progression of computing power has been the development of algorithms that can parse huge Read the full article…